The Wisdom of Crowds (WOTC) is a theory that groups of independent people often make better collective decisions than individuals (see here), and is also the name of a book (see here) by James Surowiecki. Beaumont Vance provides an excellent summary of the theory (see here), how it can be used to predict future events, and how it might apply to the risk management world. If one gathers a large number of guesses about some unknown, those guesses will come...
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